Destabilisation of the terrestrial biosphere during past warm climates

Over the last 50 years, the terrestrial biosphere has absorbed ~25% of anthropogenic carbon emissions. Yet the behaviour of the terrestrial biosphere in the coming years is highly uncertain with even the sign of change (CO2 source vs CO2 sink) disputed. One of the main unquantified processes is the lateral transport of terrestrial organic carbon along the aquatic continuum from upland terrestrial ecosystems to the ocean. This process can act as a CO2 sink or CO2 source (Hilton and West, 2020). However, its importance in warmer climates remains a major gap in our understanding and a significant contributor to the overall uncertainty in predicting our future warm climate.

One way to test the behaviour of the Earth in warm climate states is to examine the geological record. In our recent study (Inglis et al., 2022; Palaeoceanography & Palaeoclimatology; 37), we used marine sediments deposited during the early Eocene Climatic Optimum (53.3–49.1 Ma) to quantify how much organic carbon is transferred from the terrestrial biosphere to the open ocean. The early Eocene Climatic Optimum is one of three high-CO2 climate states included in the recent Deep Time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP; Hollis et al., 2019; Lunt et al., 2017) and is characterized by high temperatures (∼10°–16°C warmer than pre-industrial) and an intensified hydrological cycle (Inglis et al., 2020; Carmichael et al., 2016). As such, this interval can serve as a natural laboratory to understand how the terrestrial organic carbon cycle operates when it is significantly warmer and wetter than present.

A mock satellite image showing an ice-free and green Antarctic continent ~50 million years ago (Image credit: Dr Alan Kennedy). https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aad6284

In our study, we analysed Eocene-aged marine sediments from the East Antarctic shoreline (Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP) Leg 318, Site U1356; Escutia et al., 2011; Figure 1). During the early Eocene, the Antarctic continent was ice-free and covered by a vast terrestrial organic carbon reservoir (DeConto et al., 2012; Figure 2) – there is even evidence for palm trees growing along the coastline! (Pross et al., 2012). Using biomolecules from plants and microbes, we determined how much organic matter was transferred from the Antarctic continent to the open ocean. We found evidence for increased terrestrial organic carbon burial in marine sediments during the early Eocene. This also coincides with enhanced moisture delivery to the East Antarctica margin, implying that wetter conditions promote terrestrial organic carbon burial. The transport and subsequent burial of terrestrial organic carbon in coastal marine sediments could have acted as a key CO2 sink during the early Eocene, but also during other climate intervals. This study highlights the importance of the terrestrial biosphere during past warm climates and its potential role as a negative feedback to stabilize Earth's surface temperature.

References:

Inglis, G.N., Toney, J., Zhu, J., Poulsen, C., Rohl, U., Pross, J., Cramwinckel, M., Krishnan, S., Pagani, M., Bijl, P.K and Bendle, J.B. Enhanced carbon export from the terrestrial biosphere during the early Eocene (2022) Paleoceanography & Paleoclimatology37. e2021PA004348

Escutia, C., Brinkhuis, H., Klaus, A., & the IODP Expedition 318 Scientists (2011). IODP Expedition 318; from greenhouse to icehouse at the Wilkes land Antarctic margin. Scientific Drilling, 12, 15–23. https://doi.org/10.5194/sd-12-15-2011

Inglis, G.N., Bragg, F., Burls, N., Cramwinckel, M.J., Evans, D., Foster, G.L., Huber, M., Lunt, D.J., Siler, N., Steinig, S., Tierney, J.E., Wilkinson, R., Anagnostou, E., de Boer, A.M., Dunkley Jones, T., Edgar, K., Hollis, C.J., Hutchinson, D.K and Pancost, R.D (2020) Global mean surface temperature and climate sensitivity of the EECO, PETM and latest Paleocene. Climate of the Past. 16. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1953-2020

DeConto, R. M., Galeotti, S., Pagani, M., Tracy, D., Schaefer, K., Zhang, T., et al. (2012). Past extreme warming events linked to massive carbon release from thawing permafrost. Nature, 484, 87–91. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10929

Hollis, C. J., Dunkley Jones, et al (2019) The DeepMIP contribution to PMIP4: methodologies for selection, compilation and analysis of latest Paleocene and early Eocene climate proxy data, incorporating version 0.1 of the DeepMIP database. Geoscientific Model Development. 12. 3149-3206

Lunt, D.J., Huber, M., et al (2017) DeepMIP: experimental design for model simulations of the EECO, PETM, and pre-PETM. Geoscientific Model Development Discussion. 10. 889901

Carmichael, M. J., Lunt, D. J., Huber, M., Heinemann, M., Kiehl, J., LeGrande, A., et al. (2016). A model–model and data–model comparison for the early Eocene hydrological cycle. Climate of the Past, 12, 455–481. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-455-2016

Hilton, R. G., & West, A. J. (2020). Mountains, erosion and the carbon cycle. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1, 284–299. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0058-6

Pross, J., Contreras, L., Bijl, P. K., Greenwood, D. R., Bohaty, S. M., Bohaty, S. M., et al. (2012). Persistent near-tropical warmth on the Antarctic continent during the early Eocene epoch. Nature, 488, 73–77. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11300

PhD Opportunities

We have 2-fully funded PhD projects available this year. Please click on the links below for more details. See GSNOCS (our graduate school) for details on how to apply. The deadline is 04 January 2021. Please contact Gordon through his website (here) or email: gordon.inglis@soton.ac.uk if you want to chat about them.

Project 1: Atmospheric CO2 variability and climate sensitivity during past warm climates – a lesson for the future? (Gordon Inglis, Gavin Foster, Jessica Whiteside, Jess Tierney (Arizona))

Past climates are very different to modern, but they provide us with key evidence of how climate processes operate across the range of CO2 concentrations associated with future emission scenarios.

Fig. 1. Paleoclimate context for future climate scenarios (Tierney et al., 2020; Science)

Fig. 1. Paleoclimate context for future climate scenarios (Tierney et al., 2020; Science)

The mid-Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO; ~14 to 17 million years ago) was characterised by warmer temperatures (> 7°C higher than today) and may be an appropriate analogue for high emission/low mitigation emission scenarios. However, CO2 estimates from the mid-Miocene are much lower than expected (< 450‒550 parts per million; i.e. near-modern). This implies that: i) our CO2 estimates for the Miocene are too low, or ii) the climate system is more sensitive to CO2 change.

In this project, the student will generate new high-fidelity, high-resolution CO2 records during the mid-Miocene Climatic Optimum (~14 to 17 million years ago) by analysing the boron isotopic composition (δ11B) of marine carbonate and the carbon isotopic composition (δ13C) of marine phytoplankton lipids (e.g. alkenones, chlorophyll-derivatives). These estimates will be combined using Bayesian statistics to characterise the sensitivity of the Miocene earth system to warming.

For more details click here. The project is funded by our INSPIRE DTP. The student will be able to visit the IODP Bremen Core Repository (https://tinyurl.com/y5gm95e9) and obtain hands-on organic and inorganic geochemical expertise (e.g. multicollector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry).

Project 2: Testing the links between Holocene climate forcing and summer temperatures in Europe using temperature proxies from annually laminated lakes (Pete Langdon, Gordon Inglis, Celia Martin-Puertas (RHUL), Simon Blockley (RHUL)

The Holocene represents the last 11 thousand years of the Earth's history — the time since the end of the last major glacial epoch, or "ice age.”. The climate of the Holocene was relatively stable (unlike today). However, high-resolution climate records from the Holocene can improve our understanding of natural climate oscillations and how they might modulate future anthropogenic warming.

Sadly, very few studies have been able to produce detailed, high-resolution (sub-decadal) quantitative temperature records required to answer this question. In this project, the student will address this knowledge gap by using annually laminated lake sediments to reconstruct sub-decadal temperatures. The project will employ two independent approaches. The first approach is based upon chironomids, informally known as nonbiting midges or lake flies. The distribution and abundance of chironomid in lake sediments is closely related to temperature and allow us to reconstruct temperatures within 1°C accuracy. The second approach is based upon the distribution of molecular fossils. These are organic compounds which have a known biological source and are preserved in the sedimentary record for thousands (or millions!) of years. We will analyse a range of temperature-sensitive molecular fossils within lake sediments to reconstruct temperatures during the Holocene. These two independent methods will provide ultrahigh resolution temperature reconstructions during the Holocene and will improve our understanding of natural climate oscillations and future anthropogenic warming.

Figure 2: a non-biting midge!

Figure 2: a non-biting midge!

For more details click here. The project is funded by our INSPIRE DTP. The student will obtain hands-on expertise in both organic geochemistry and paleoecology.  They will also receive an introduction to high resolution paleoclimate time series data via links to project collaborators at Royal Holloway University of London.